David Manheim - Methodology Lead at Coalition for Consensus Evaluation Practices

David Manheim

Methodology Lead at Coalition for Consensus Evaluation Practices

Israel

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Summary

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Senior

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Top School

David Manheim is a methodology lead and policy researcher with 11+ years of experience applying quantitative decision theory, risk modeling, and programming to reduce large-scale catastrophic risks, especially in biosecurity and AI alignment. He combines academic rigor from doctoral work at Pardee RAND with hands-on experience in forecasting (original Good Judgment Project superforecaster and top Metaculus performer) and policy practice across NGOs, standards bodies (ISO/IEC SC42), and government-adjacent initiatives. David has led interdisciplinary projects from probabilistic model validation at RMS to postdoctoral public-health research, and founded ALTER to translate long-term risk research into actionable policy. Notably, he pairs expertise in extreme-tail risk and Monte Carlo/Bayesian methods with experience automating model pipelines and training stakeholders to interpret complex models. Based in Israel, he bridges technical modeling, legislative strategy, and stakeholder engagement to make high-stakes decision-making more robust and evidence-driven.

11 years of coding experience

12 years of employment as a software developer

B.S. Mathematics, B.S. Mathematics at Lander College for Men

Talmudic Law Talmud, Talmudic Law Talmud at Derech Etz Chaim

PhD Student Public Policy / Decision Theory, PhD Student Public Policy / Decision Theory at RAND School of Public Policy

Mathematics, Mathematics at The Hebrew University of Jerusalem

Post-Doctoral Researcher Public Health, Post-Doctoral Researcher Public Health at University of Haifa

Hebrew, English

Github Skills (97)

virus10

bayesian-data-analysis10

immunology10

chat10

playing10

eigen10

stan10

boost10

bitcoin10

nodejs10

mongodb10

css10

equation10

javascript9

html9

Programming languages (10)

TypeScriptC++ROCamlTeXJavaScriptHTMLJupyter Notebook

Github contributions (5)

1DaySooner/RiskModel

Jul 2020 - Feb 2021

Contributions:1 release, 1 review, 60 commits in 7 months

davidmanheim/Random-Stuff

Jun 2016 - Feb 2022

Stuff I want to have online

Contributions:2 PRs, 11 pushes, 3 branches in 5 years 9 months

javascript

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